War-related excess mortality in The Netherlands, 1944-45: New estimates of famine- and non-famine-related deaths from national death records.

IF 1.6 2区 历史学 Q1 HISTORY Historical Methods Pub Date : 2017-01-01 Epub Date: 2017-02-17 DOI:10.1080/01615440.2017.1285260
Peter Ekamper, Govert Bijwaard, Frans van Poppel, L H Lumey
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引用次数: 30

Abstract

Despite there being several estimates for famine-related deaths in the west of The Netherlands during the last stage of World War II, no such information exists for war-related excess mortality among the civilian population from other areas of the country. Previously unavailable data files from Statistics Netherlands allow researchers to estimate the number of war-related excess deaths during the last stage of the war in the whole country. This study uses a seasonal-adjusted mortality model combined with a difference-in-difference approach to estimate the number of excess deaths in the period between January 1944 and July 1945 at a total of close to 91,000 (75%) excess deaths. Almost half of all war-related excess mortality during the last year of the war occurred outside the west.

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1944- 1945年荷兰与战争有关的超额死亡率:来自国家死亡记录的与饥荒和非饥荒有关的死亡的新估计。
尽管对第二次世界大战最后阶段荷兰西部与饥荒有关的死亡人数有过几次估计,但对于该国其他地区的平民人口中与战争有关的超额死亡率,没有这种资料。荷兰统计局以前无法获得的数据文件使研究人员能够估计在整个国家战争的最后阶段与战争有关的超额死亡人数。本研究采用季节性调整死亡率模型,结合差中之差方法,估计1944年1月至1945年7月期间的超额死亡人数总计接近91,000人(75%)。在战争的最后一年里,几乎一半与战争有关的超额死亡率发生在西部以外。
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来源期刊
Historical Methods
Historical Methods Multiple-
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
7.10%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: Historical Methodsreaches an international audience of social scientists concerned with historical problems. It explores interdisciplinary approaches to new data sources, new approaches to older questions and material, and practical discussions of computer and statistical methodology, data collection, and sampling procedures. The journal includes the following features: “Evidence Matters” emphasizes how to find, decipher, and analyze evidence whether or not that evidence is meant to be quantified. “Database Developments” announces major new public databases or large alterations in older ones, discusses innovative ways to organize them, and explains new ways of categorizing information.
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