Does Stringency of Lockdown Affect Air Quality? Evidence from Indian Cities.

Surender Kumar, Shunsuke Managi
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Abstract

The precipitous spread of COVID-19 has created a conflict between human health and economic well-being. To contain the spread of its contagious effect, India imposed a stringent lockdown, and then the stringency was relaxed to some extent in its succeeding phases. We measure social benefits of the lockdown in terms of improved air quality in Indian cities by quantifying the effects with city-specific slope coefficients. We find that the containment measures have resulted in improvement in air quality, but it is not uniform across cities and across pollutants. The level of PM2.5 decreases from about 6 to 25% in many cities. Moreover, we observe that partial relaxations do not help in resuming economic and social activities. It should also be noted that counter-virus measures could not bring levels of the emissions to WHO standards; it highlights the importance of role of green production and consumption activities.

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封锁的严格程度会影响空气质量吗?印度城市的证据
COVID-19 的急剧扩散造成了人类健康与经济福祉之间的矛盾。为遏制其传染效应的扩散,印度实施了严格的封锁,并在随后的阶段在一定程度上放松了封锁。我们从改善印度城市空气质量的角度来衡量封锁措施的社会效益,用特定城市的斜率系数来量化效果。我们发现,封锁措施改善了空气质量,但不同城市和不同污染物的改善情况并不一致。在许多城市,PM2.5 的水平下降了约 6% 到 25%。此外,我们注意到,部分放松措施无助于恢复经济和社会活动。还应该指出的是,反病毒措施无法使排放水平达到世界卫生组织的标准;这凸显了绿色生产和消费活动的重要作用。
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