Estimating the COVID-Related Deaths Attributable to President Trump's Early Pronouncements About Masks.

IF 3.4 4区 医学 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES International Journal of Health Services Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-09-23 DOI:10.1177/0020731420960345
Robert A Hahn
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Abstract

The goal of this analysis is to estimate the proportion of COVID-19 deaths attributable to President Donald Trump's early pronouncements about voluntary mask use and his intention not to use masks. Data from available research were used to estimate parameters for the calculation of population attributable risk for COVID-19 deaths reported to date. Assuming Trump's pronouncement to have caused 25%, 50%, and 75% of the non-use of masks, estimates of Trump-attributable COVID-19 deaths to date would be, respectively, 4,244, 8,356, or 12,202. The effects of presidential pronouncements on health-related matters may have large public health consequences. Pronouncements of national leaders should be based on the best available science.

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估算因特朗普总统早期关于面具的声明而导致的 COVID 相关死亡人数。
本分析的目的是估算可归因于唐纳德-特朗普(Donald Trump)总统早期关于自愿使用口罩的声明及其不使用口罩的意图的 COVID-19 死亡人数比例。现有研究数据被用于估算参数,以计算迄今为止报告的 COVID-19 死亡的人群归因风险。假定特朗普的声明导致了 25%、50% 和 75% 的不使用口罩情况,那么迄今为止可归因于特朗普的 COVID-19 死亡人数估计分别为 4,244 人、8,356 人或 12,202 人。总统在卫生相关事务上的表态可能会对公共卫生产生重大影响。国家领导人的声明应基于现有的最佳科学依据。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
2.90%
发文量
41
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Health Services is a peer-reviewed journal that contains articles on health and social policy, political economy and sociology, history and philosophy, ethics and law in the areas of health and well-being. This journal is a member of the Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE).
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