Excess Mortality During COVID-19 Pandemic in İstanbul.

IF 0.8 Q4 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Turkish Thoracic Journal Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI:10.5152/TurkThoracJ.2021.20258

Benan Musellim, Seval Kul, Pınar Ay, Filiz Çağla Uyanusta Küçük, Elif Dağlı, Oya Itil, Hasan Bayram

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引用次数: 6

Abstract

Objective: Epidemiological studies have shown that mortality owing to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) could be under-reported under different conditions. Excess mortality analysis is suggested as a useful tool in estimating the impact of the disease.

Material and methods: Mortality data between January 01 and May 18, 2020, were analyzed to evaluate the excess mortality owing to COVID-19 in Istanbul, the city most affected by the pandemic in Turkey. The average weekly percentage changes in the number of deaths in 4 previous years were compared with those in the year 2020 using excess mortality analysis.

Results: The number of deaths in Istanbul was significantly higher in 2020 (p=0.001), with a 10% weekly increase between the 10th and 15th weeks, which started to decrease until the 20th week. The excess mortality found during the study period was 4,084 deaths, higher than the officially reported COVID-19 mortality.

Conclusion: Our findings demonstrated that mortality owing to COVID-19 could be higher than the official figures reported by health authorities.

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COVID-19大流行期间的超额死亡率:İstanbul。

目的:流行病学研究表明，2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的死亡率在不同情况下可能存在低报现象。建议将超额死亡率分析作为估计该病影响的有用工具。材料和方法:分析2020年1月1日至5月18日的死亡率数据，以评估土耳其受疫情影响最严重的城市伊斯坦布尔因COVID-19造成的超额死亡率。利用超额死亡率分析，将前4年死亡人数的平均每周百分比变化与2020年的死亡人数进行了比较。结果:伊斯坦布尔的死亡人数在2020年显著增加(p=0.001)，在第10周至第15周期间每周增加10%，直到第20周开始下降。在研究期间发现的超额死亡率为4084人，高于官方报告的COVID-19死亡率。结论:我们的研究结果表明，COVID-19的死亡率可能高于卫生当局报告的官方数字。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Turkish Thoracic Journal Medicine-Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine

CiteScore

1.40

自引率

11.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： Turkish Thoracic Journal (Turk Thorac J) is the double-blind, peer-reviewed, open access, international publication organ of Turkish Thoracic Society. The journal is a quarterly publication, published on January, April, July, and October and its publication language is English. Turkish Thoracic Journal started its publication life following the merger of two journals which were published under the titles “Turkish Respiratory Journal” and “Toraks Journal” until 2007. Archives of both journals were passed on to the Turkish Thoracic Journal. The aim of the journal is to convey scientific developments and to create a dynamic discussion platform about pulmonary diseases. With this intent, the journal accepts articles from all related scientific areas that address adult and pediatric pulmonary diseases, as well as thoracic imaging, environmental and occupational disorders, intensive care, sleep disorders and thoracic surgery. Clinical and research articles, reviews, statements of agreement or disagreement on controversial issues, national and international consensus reports, abstracts and comments of important international articles, interesting case reports, writings related to clinical and practical applications, letters to the editor, and editorials are accepted.