The Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score Predicts Survival in Gastric Cancer Patients with Normal CEA and CA19-9.

Abstract

Background: Traditionally, serum CEA and CA19-9 levels are good prognostic factors for gastric cancer. Many gastric cancer patients do not have elevated CEA or CA19-9 levels even at a very advanced stage. This study investigates the significance of the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) for the survival of gastric cancer patients with normal CEA and CA19-9.

Methods: We retrospectively examined 488 curatively resected gastric cancer patients with normal preoperative serum levels of CEA and CA19-9 to evaluate the prognostic ability of mGPS for overall survival. The prognostic significance was analyzed by univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results: Age, hemoglobin, white cell count, and neutrophils were each significantly correlated with the mGPS. Multivariate analyses showed that tumor location (HR, 0.803; 95% CI, 0.667-0.966; P=0.020), TNM stage (HR, 2.714; 95% CI, 2.250-3.275; P < 0.001), and mGPS (HR, 1.042; 95% CI, 1.105-1.772; P=0.023) were significantly associated with overall survival. Significant correlations were found between overall survival and mGPS. The Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated significant differences among patients with mGPS of 0, 1, and 2 (P < 0.001), with the mortality rate being higher for patients with a higher mGPS.

Conclusion: The mGPS can predict survival in gastric cancer patients with normal CEA and CA19-9.