Misinformation versus Facts: Understanding the Influence of News regarding COVID-19 Vaccines on Vaccine Uptake.

Health data science Pub Date : 2022-03-12 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI:10.34133/2022/9858292
Hanjia Lyu, Zihe Zheng, Jiebo Luo
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Abstract

Background: There is a lot of fact-based information and misinformation in the online discourses and discussions about the COVID-19 vaccines.

Method: Using a sample of nearly four million geotagged English tweets and the data from the CDC COVID Data Tracker, we conducted the Fama-MacBeth regression with the Newey-West adjustment to understand the influence of both misinformation and fact-based news on Twitter on the COVID-19 vaccine uptake in the US from April 19 when US adults were vaccine eligible to June 30, 2021, after controlling state-level factors such as demographics, education, and the pandemic severity. We identified the tweets related to either misinformation or fact-based news by analyzing the URLs.

Results: One percent increase in fact-related Twitter users is associated with an approximately 0.87 decrease (B = -0.87, SE = 0.25, and p < .001) in the number of daily new vaccinated people per hundred. No significant relationship was found between the percentage of fake-news-related users and the vaccination rate.

Conclusion: The negative association between the percentage of fact-related users and the vaccination rate might be due to a combination of a larger user-level influence and the negative impact of online social endorsement on vaccination intent.

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错误信息与事实:了解有关 COVID-19 疫苗的新闻对疫苗接种的影响。
背景:在有关 COVID-19 疫苗的网络讨论中存在大量基于事实的信息和错误信息:我们利用近 400 万条带有地理标记的英文推文样本和美国疾病预防控制中心 COVID 数据跟踪器的数据,在控制了人口统计学、教育程度和疫情严重程度等州级因素后,进行了带有 Newey-West 调整的 Fama-MacBeth 回归,以了解推特上的错误信息和基于事实的新闻对美国 COVID-19 疫苗接种率的影响(从 4 月 19 日美国成年人符合接种条件到 2021 年 6 月 30 日)。我们通过分析 URL 确定了与错误信息或基于事实的新闻相关的推文:与事实相关的推特用户每增加 1%,每百人每日新增接种人数就会减少约 0.87(B = -0.87,SE = 0.25,p < .001)。假新闻相关用户的比例与疫苗接种率之间没有明显关系:与事实相关的用户比例与疫苗接种率之间的负相关可能是由于用户层面的影响较大以及网络社交认可对疫苗接种意愿的负面影响。
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