Tuberculosis among foreign-born children in the State of Florida, 1993--1999: a re-emergence phase after a sustained decline?

Hamisu M Salihu, Robyn Spittle
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Abstract

Study objective: To determine the temporal trend of tuberculosis disease among foreign-born children in the State of Florida.

Design and setting: Descriptive population-based study on data obtained from the Tuberculosis Control and Surveillance Program in the State of Florida. We employed Poisson assumption to derive estimates for rates of tuberculosis among US-born and foreign-born children in the studied population. We also applied linear and nonlinear regression equations to describe the best trajectories for observed temporal trends in incidence cases of the disease.

Patients: All cases of tuberculosis disease among children notified in the State of Florida between 1993 and 1999 inclusive.

Main results: The incidence rate of TB over the study period was five times higher among foreign-born children (11.3 per 105; CI = 8.0-14.6 per 105) as compared to US-born (1.7 per 105; CI = 0.8-4.2 per 105). Whereas, new cases of TB among US-born children have continuously and significantly dropped throughout the period of study, our data indicated that the decline achieved from 1993 to 1996 among foreign-born children has ceased, and a resurgence of tuberculosis in this population was apparent.

Conclusions: Our data tend to suggest a re-emergence of tuberculosis among foreign-born children in the State of Florida as from 1997 after several years of decline. There is a need for a more in-depth investigation to elucidate and address causes responsible for the resurgence if the current battle to eliminate tuberculosis from the State is to succeed.

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1993- 1999年佛罗里达州外国出生儿童的结核病:持续下降后的重新出现阶段?
研究目的:确定佛罗里达州外国出生儿童结核病的时间趋势。设计和背景:对从佛罗里达州结核病控制和监测项目获得的数据进行描述性基于人群的研究。我们采用泊松假设来估计研究人群中美国出生和外国出生儿童的结核病发病率。我们还应用线性和非线性回归方程来描述观察到的疾病发病率的时间趋势的最佳轨迹。患者:1993年至1999年期间佛罗里达州通报的所有儿童结核病病例。主要结果:在研究期间,外国出生儿童的结核病发病率高出5倍(11.3 / 105;CI = 8.0-14.6 / 105),而美国出生的(1.7 / 105;CI = 0.8-4.2 / 105)。然而,在整个研究期间,在美国出生的儿童中,新发结核病病例持续显著下降,我们的数据表明,1993年至1996年在外国出生的儿童中取得的下降已经停止,结核病在这一人群中卷土重来是明显的。结论:我们的数据倾向于表明,在经历了几年的下降后,1997年在佛罗里达州的外国出生儿童中,结核病再次出现。如果要使目前在国家消灭结核病的斗争取得成功,就需要进行更深入的调查,以阐明和处理导致结核病死灰复燃的原因。
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