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IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Nber Macroeconomics Annual Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI:10.1086/707187
D. Acemoglu
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Abstract

There is by now a huge literature on the increase in the college premium and other dimensions of inequality in the United States and many other Western nations (see Acemoglu andAutor [2011] for an overview of this literature). As I discuss in the following text, the focal explanation in this literature is that technological changes of the last 4 decades have increased the demand for skills and have pushed up premia to different kinds of skills, college education among them (though other factors including globalization and changes in labormarket institutions have also contributed to these trends). The paper by Jaimovich, Rebelo, Wong, and Zhang tackles an important topic anddevelops a relatively underresearched line of inquirywithin this broad literature. The main idea is that a major contributor to the increase in the demand for skills has been “trading up” (the authors’ term) by households to higher-quality products as they have become richer. Higher-quality products are argued to bemore intensive in skilled labor. As a result, this process has naturally brought a higher demand for skills as a by-product of economic growth. This is an important idea, and one I sympathize with a lot. The paper also has a noteworthy original contribution in providing compelling motivating evidence. It estimates product quality froma variety of sources, links these to establishment-level demand for skills from the microdata of the Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) data set of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and verifies that higher-quality products are more skill intensive than products of lower quality. This empirical work alone is worth more than the price of admission. But the paper does not fully deliver on this very promising research agenda. The reason why it fails to do that is interesting and instructive. It is because it follows a methodology I call quantitative Friedmanite modeling. This approach combines Friedman’s (1953/2008) famous
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到目前为止,关于美国和许多其他西方国家的大学溢价和其他不平等方面的增加,已经有了大量的文献(参见Acemoglu和autor[2011]对这些文献的概述)。正如我在下面的文章中讨论的那样,这篇文献中的重点解释是,过去40年的技术变革增加了对技能的需求,并推高了对不同技能的溢价,其中包括大学教育(尽管包括全球化和劳动力市场制度变化在内的其他因素也促成了这些趋势)。Jaimovich, Rebelo, Wong和Zhang的论文处理了一个重要的话题,并在这一广泛的文献中发展了一个相对缺乏研究的探究线。其主要观点是,随着家庭变得更富有,对技能需求增加的一个主要因素是“升级”(作者的术语),以购买更高质量的产品。高质量的产品被认为需要更密集的熟练劳动。因此,作为经济增长的副产品,这一过程自然带来了对技能的更高需求。这是一个重要的想法,也是我非常赞同的一个想法。本文在提供令人信服的激励证据方面也有值得注意的原创性贡献。它从各种来源估计产品质量,从劳工统计局的职业就业统计(OES)数据集的微观数据将这些与企业层面的技能需求联系起来,并验证高质量的产品比低质量的产品更具有技能密集型。这项实证研究本身就比入场费更有价值。但是这篇论文并没有完全实现这个非常有希望的研究议程。它没有做到这一点的原因很有趣,也很有教育意义。这是因为它遵循了一种我称之为定量弗里德曼模型的方法。这种方法结合了弗里德曼(1953/2008)著名的
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5.10
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0.00%
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23
期刊介绍: The Nber Macroeconomics Annual provides a forum for important debates in contemporary macroeconomics and major developments in the theory of macroeconomic analysis and policy that include leading economists from a variety of fields.
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