Using Copulas to Model Dependence Between Crude Oil Prices of West Texas Intermediate and Brent-Europe

V. Najjari
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Abstract

In this study the main endeavor is to model dependence structure  between crude oil prices of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent - Europe.  The main activity is on concentrating copula technique which is powerful technique in modeling dependence structures.  Beside several well known Archimedean copulas, three new Archimedean families are used which have recently presented to the literature. Moreover, convex combination of these copulas also  are investigated on modeling of the mentioned dependence structure. Modeling process is relied on 318 data  which are average of the monthly prices from Jun-1992 to Oct-2018.
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用Copulas模拟西德克萨斯中质原油和欧洲布伦特原油价格的相关性
在本研究中,主要致力于建立西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)和布伦特-欧洲原油价格之间的依赖结构模型。主要活动是集中copula技术,这是建立依赖结构模型的强大技术。除了几个著名的阿基米德系谱外,还使用了三个最近出现在文献中的新阿基米德族。此外,在上述依赖结构的建模中,还研究了这些copula的凸组合。建模过程依赖于318个数据,这些数据是1992年6月至2018年10月的月平均价格。
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Communications in Mathematical Analysis
Communications in Mathematical Analysis Mathematics-Applied Mathematics
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