Estimation of parameters in a closed pygmy population in Cameroon

Abstract

Inspired by a manuscript of (kouakep, arxiv.org/abs/1505.06431, 2016), we considered in this note a wellposed model with deferential susceptibility and infectivity adding continuous age structure to an ODE model for a “Baka” pygmy group in the East of Cameroon (Africa). Assuming a very low contribution of carriers to infection compare to acute infectious, we estimate a probability p(a) (to develop symptomatic Hepatitis B state at age a) and acute carriers’ transmission rate. The value R0 = 2:67 >1 of the basic reproduction number estimated from data in the east of Cameroon confirms that HBV is endemic in the Baka pygmy group.