{"title":"Comment on “Estimation of COVID-19 dynamics “on a back-of-envelope”: Does the simplest SIR model provide quantitative parameters and predictions?”","authors":"S. Rojas","doi":"10.1016/j.csfx.2020.100047","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This comment shows that data regarding cumulative confirmed cases from the coronavirus COVID-19 disease outbreak, in the period December 31, 2019–June 29, 2020 of some countries reported by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, can be adjusted by the exact solution of the Kermack – McKendrick approximation of the <em>SIR</em> epidemiological model.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":37147,"journal":{"name":"Chaos, Solitons and Fractals: X","volume":"5 ","pages":"Article 100047"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.csfx.2020.100047","citationCount":"2","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Chaos, Solitons and Fractals: X","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590054420300282","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Abstract
This comment shows that data regarding cumulative confirmed cases from the coronavirus COVID-19 disease outbreak, in the period December 31, 2019–June 29, 2020 of some countries reported by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, can be adjusted by the exact solution of the Kermack – McKendrick approximation of the SIR epidemiological model.
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