The Role of Uncertainty in Shaping the Relationship between Direct Investments and International Trade: Evidence from VAR Models

IF 1.2 Q4 BUSINESS Journal of East-West Business Pub Date : 2022-04-03 DOI:10.1080/10669868.2022.2078920
Piotr Adamczyk
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Abstract In this study, we test whether uncertainty shocks can affect the choice between direct investments and international trade as competitive modes of operating on foreign markets. In order to verify this, we built simple investments-to-trade ratios and used them with selected uncertainty measures in VAR models. Our analysis shows that in the case of the Polish manufacturing sector, different types of uncertainty not only affect the choice between direct investments abroad and exports but also affect the choice between foreign direct investment and imports as different modes of supplying the Polish market by foreign entities.
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不确定性在形成直接投资与国际贸易关系中的作用:来自VAR模型的证据
摘要在这项研究中,我们测试了不确定性冲击是否会影响直接投资和国际贸易作为在外国市场上竞争的经营模式之间的选择。为了验证这一点,我们建立了简单的投资与交易比率,并将其与VAR模型中选定的不确定性指标一起使用。我们的分析表明,就波兰制造业而言,不同类型的不确定性不仅影响海外直接投资和出口之间的选择,还影响外国直接投资和进口之间的选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
26.70%
发文量
19
期刊介绍: Journal of East-West Business is a quarterly journal that deals with contemporary and emerging aspects of business studies, strategies, development, and practice as they relate to the Russian Federation, the new republics of the Commonwealth of Independent States, and Eastern/Central Europe-and business relationships with other countries of the world. The Journal of East-West Business is international in scope and treats business issues from comparative, cross-cultural, and cross-national perspectives. The journal features an Editorial Advisory Board that represents the Russian Federation, Eastern/Central European, and Baltic states in this new business arena.
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