Overcoming the “Trump Trap”: How Thucydides Can Be Better Applied to US Policy on China

IF 1.1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE East Asian Policy Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI:10.1142/s1793930521000143
Leif-Eric Easley
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Abstract

Analogies to the Peloponnesian War have been misapplied in studies of US–China relations, especially regarding the so-called “Thucydides trap” of inevitable conflict between an established power and a rising power. This article addresses methodological problems with deriving policy lessons from political theory and ancient history. It then argues that Thucydides is more applicable to overcoming a pattern of leadership mistakes reminiscent of Athens’ populist politics, erosion of international agreements and mismanagement of alliances. To meet the China challenge, the United States must renew its national strength with good governance, productive interdependence, and sustained investment in human capital.
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克服“特朗普陷阱”:修昔底德学说如何更好地应用于美国对华政策
在美中关系研究中,类似伯罗奔尼撒战争的说法被误用了,尤其是在所谓的“修昔底德陷阱”中,即一个老牌大国和一个崛起大国之间不可避免的冲突。本文论述了从政治理论和古代历史中汲取政策教训的方法论问题。然后,它认为修昔底德更适用于克服一种领导失误模式,这种模式让人想起雅典的民粹主义政治、国际协议的侵蚀和联盟的管理不善。为了应对中国的挑战,美国必须通过良好的治理、生产性的相互依存和对人力资本的持续投资来恢复其国力。
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来源期刊
East Asian Policy
East Asian Policy POLITICAL SCIENCE-
自引率
11.10%
发文量
8
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