Topological Properties of China Input-Output Networks

Ge Zhiyuan, Hou Jie
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Abstract

The aim of this paper is to contribute to a better understanding of developments and changes of China economy from the perspective of input-output networks between 1990 and 2013. Through choosing a network-based approach and combining this with input-output data we are able to analyze the changes and evolutions of centralities, which measured by strength centrality and clustering coefficient, and some extend measures based on centrality including import penetration, international outsourcing and distance to final demand. Our findings show that the basic impression about China input-output networks is that flows are concentrated on some minority points, and also concentrated on the diagonal line obviously, and the self-inputs by industries are normal and significant. Moreover, during recent years the trend of lower and wider peak of the density strength centrality curves illustrates the more balance of China economy than at the beginning of this century, and construction has always been the pillar industry. The changes of distribution of import penetration have been flatter and lower since 1990 and then narrower and higher about after 2001. This trend means that after 2001 most of China industries decrease the dependencies of import from outside. Some trade pattern in measures of distance to final demand and clustering coefficient are exhibited in this paper.
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中国输入输出网络的拓扑性质
本文的目的是从投入产出网络的角度更好地理解1990年至2013年间中国经济的发展和变化。通过选择基于网络的方法,并将其与投入产出数据相结合,我们能够分析集中度的变化和演变,通过强度中心性和聚类系数来衡量,以及基于中心性的一些扩展措施,包括进口渗透、国际外包和与最终需求的距离。研究结果表明,对中国投入产出网络的基本印象是,流量集中在少数几个点上,也明显集中在对角线上,产业的自我投入是正常和显著的。此外,近年来密度-强度-中心性曲线峰值越来越低、越来越宽的趋势表明,中国经济比本世纪初更加平衡,建筑业一直是支柱产业。自1990年以来,进口渗透率的分布变化较为平缓且较低,2001年左右又有所收窄且较高。这一趋势意味着,2001年以后,我国大部分产业对外依存度下降。本文展示了一些衡量最终需求距离和聚类系数的贸易模式。
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