Climate change and water scarcity will increase risk of nuclear catastrophe in South Asia

IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Pub Date : 2022-07-04 DOI:10.1080/00963402.2022.2087382
Asha Asokan, Ira Helfand
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Abstract

ABSTRACT Climate change poses grave challenges to global peace and stability. Nowhere is the relation between the climate crisis and the increased threat of nuclear war clearer than in South Asia, where approximately 700 million people in India, Pakistan, China, and Bangladesh depend on the shared waters of the Indus, Ganges, and Brahmaputra river basins. These river systems, fed by Himalayan glaciers, are diminishing markedly due to climate change. As geopolitical tensions in the region intensify, it becomes even more crucial to address and eliminate the two intertwined existential threats of water scarcity (caused by climate change) and the risk of nuclear war. This paper analyses the Indus River conflict and the Brahmaputra conflict in turn and offers effective strategies and recommendations for dealing with the threats.
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气候变化和水资源短缺将增加南亚发生核灾难的风险
气候变化对全球和平与稳定构成严峻挑战。气候危机与核战争威胁增加之间的关系在南亚最为明显。在南亚,印度、巴基斯坦、中国和孟加拉国约有7亿人依靠印度河、恒河和雅鲁藏布江流域的共享水域生活。由于气候变化,这些由喜马拉雅冰川滋养的河流系统正在显著减少。随着该地区地缘政治紧张局势的加剧,解决和消除水资源短缺(由气候变化引起)和核战争风险这两个相互交织的生存威胁变得更加重要。本文依次分析了印度河冲突和雅鲁藏布江冲突,并提出了应对威胁的有效策略和建议。
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1.80
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54
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