Prospects for the Economic Development of the Republic of Buryatia

A. Baranov, Z. Dondokov, V. Pavlov, V. Suslov
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Abstract

ABSTRACT The article analyzes the development of the economy of the Republic of Buryatia spanning 2007–2017 and provides two forecast analyses of the republic’s economic development until 2021: the baseline forecast and the optimistic forecast. To generate the forecasts the authors used a dynamic input–output model of the Buryat economy that includes fuzzy parameters. It is shown that under favorable macroeconomic conditions and a sharp increase in fixed capital investment, it is possible to significantly accelerate economic growth in Buryatia. Specific projects that will accelerate economic growth in the republic are discussed.
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布里亚特共和国经济发展前景
摘要本文分析了2007年至2017年布里亚特共和国的经济发展,并对该共和国到2021年的经济发展进行了两种预测分析:基线预测和乐观预测。为了生成预测,作者使用了布里亚特经济的动态投入产出模型,该模型包括模糊参数。研究表明,在有利的宏观经济条件和固定资本投资的大幅增加下,布里亚特的经济增长有可能显著加快。讨论了将加速共和国经济增长的具体项目。
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