Trade related sectorial infrastructure and exports of belt and road countries: does belt and road initiatives make this relation structurally instable?

IF 3.7 Q1 ECONOMICS China Economic Journal Pub Date : 2020-11-02 DOI:10.1080/17538963.2020.1840014
F. Rehman, A. Noman
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引用次数: 19

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study investigates the impact of infrastructure on export in Belt & Road countries during 1990–2017 by applying System GMM approach. The results confirmed the significant and positive impact of aggregate and sub-indices (i.e., transport, telecommunication, energy and financial sector) of infrastructure on export in total sample as well is in grouped samples (like Asia, Europe and Middle East, and Africa). Most importantly, this study also examines the pre and post strategy of Belt and Road initiative (BRI) in total sample of belt and road countries. The empirical outcomes reveal that the coefficient of aggregate and all other sub-indices of infrastructure improved due to BRI which in turn encourage export in the selected economies. Furthermore, the control variables of exchange rate, per capita GDP, domestic investment, and institutional quality have also significant effect on export, which strengthen the role of infrastructure in promoting export in belt & road economies.
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与贸易相关的行业基础设施和“一带一路”国家的出口:“一带一路”倡议是否使这种关系在结构上不稳定?
本文运用系统GMM方法,研究了1990-2017年“一带一路”沿线国家基础设施对出口的影响。结果证实了基础设施的总指数和分项指数(即交通、电信、能源和金融部门)对总样本出口的显著和积极影响,以及分组样本(如亚洲、欧洲和中东以及非洲)。最重要的是,本研究还在“一带一路”沿线国家的总样本中考察了“一带一路”倡议的前后战略。实证结果表明,由于“一带一路”,基础设施的总系数和所有其他子指数都有所改善,这反过来又鼓励了所选经济体的出口。此外,汇率、人均GDP、国内投资和制度质量等控制变量对出口也有显著影响,这强化了基础设施对“一带一路”经济体出口的促进作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
3.00%
发文量
20
期刊最新文献
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