Impact of COVID-19 on volatility spillovers across international markets: Evidence from VAR asymmetric BEKK GARCH model

IF 2 0 ECONOMICS Annals of Financial Economics Pub Date : 2022-01-31 DOI:10.1142/s201049522250004x
N. Arfaoui, I. Yousaf
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

This study contributes to the COVID-19 related literature in finance by examining asymmetric volatility spillover across stock, Bitcoin, gold and oil markets before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on multivariate VAR asymmetric BEKK GARCH model, findings show that the interdependency across the examined markets intensified during the recent health crisis. Moreover, we find that oil market appears as major receivers of volatility spillovers, particularly from gold and stock market which is mostly the results of dramatic collapse of oil prices during the COVID-19 outbreak. We also document that gold exhibits a strong resilience during COVID-19 crisis, suggesting its potential hedging ability during uncertainty. As for asymmetric volatility spillover, findings show the highest sensitivity of oil and Bitcoin markets to gold and US stock markets. Our findings have important implications for investors, portfolio managers and policymakers. © 2022 World Scientific Publishing Company.
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新冠肺炎对国际市场波动溢出的影响:来自VAR不对称BEKK-GARCH模型的证据
本研究通过研究COVID-19大流行之前和期间股票、比特币、黄金和石油市场的不对称波动溢出,为金融领域的COVID-19相关文献做出了贡献。基于多变量VAR非对称BEKK GARCH模型,研究结果表明,在最近的卫生危机期间,被调查市场之间的相互依赖性加剧。此外,我们发现石油市场似乎是波动性溢出效应的主要接受者,特别是黄金和股票市场,这主要是COVID-19疫情期间油价大幅下跌的结果。我们还证明,黄金在2019冠状病毒病危机期间表现出强大的弹性,表明其在不确定性期间具有潜在的对冲能力。至于不对称波动溢出效应,研究结果显示,石油和比特币市场对黄金和美国股市的敏感度最高。我们的研究结果对投资者、投资组合经理和政策制定者具有重要意义。©2022世界科学出版公司。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
55.00%
发文量
30
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