Bayesian estimation of a competing risk model based on Weibull and exponential distributions under right censored data

IF 0.8 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Monte Carlo Methods and Applications Pub Date : 2021-01-10 DOI:10.1515/mcma-2022-2112
H. Talhi, H. Aiachi, N. Rahmania
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Abstract In this paper, we investigate the estimation of the unknown parameters of a competing risk model based on a Weibull distributed decreasing failure rate and an exponentially distributed constant failure rate, under right censored data. The Bayes estimators and the corresponding risks are derived using various loss functions. Since the posterior analysis involves analytically intractable integrals, we propose a Monte Carlo method to compute these estimators. Given initial values of the model parameters, the maximum likelihood estimators are computed using the expectation-maximization algorithm. Finally, we use Pitman’s closeness criterion and integrated mean-square error to compare the performance of the Bayesian and the maximum likelihood estimators.
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基于威布尔分布和指数分布的竞争风险模型的贝叶斯估计
摘要本文研究了基于威布尔分布递减故障率和指数分布常数故障率的竞争风险模型的未知参数估计问题。利用各种损失函数推导出贝叶斯估计量和相应的风险。由于后验分析涉及解析难以处理的积分,我们提出一种蒙特卡罗方法来计算这些估计量。给定模型参数的初始值,使用期望最大化算法计算最大似然估计量。最后,我们使用Pitman的接近准则和综合均方误差来比较贝叶斯估计和最大似然估计的性能。
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来源期刊
Monte Carlo Methods and Applications
Monte Carlo Methods and Applications STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
22.20%
发文量
31
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