Inflationary effects of fiscal and monetary policies in Indonesia

J. Sriyana
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

This paper analyzes the effects of fiscal and monetary policies on inflation rate in Indonesia. This research uses the error correction model for estimating the empirical model of inflation rate for annual data 1970-2017. The results present the significant effects of fiscal and monetary variables on the inflation rate. These findings reveal the inflationary effects of fiscal and monetary policies in the country. This research also finds the impact of output and exchange rate on inflation rate. Therefore, this paper supports the theory of demand-pull inflation as well as the proposition of imported inflation. The other uniqueness of this research is the inclusion of shock variables in the empirical model. This study asserts the significant role of inflation shock and unanticipated exchange rate on the domestic price level. It implies that domestic inflation is closely related to the international financial sector.
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印度尼西亚财政和货币政策的通货膨胀效应
本文分析了印尼财政和货币政策对通货膨胀率的影响。本研究使用误差修正模型来估计1970-2017年年度数据的通货膨胀率经验模型。结果显示财政和货币变量对通货膨胀率的显著影响。这些发现揭示了该国财政和货币政策的通货膨胀效应。本研究还发现了产出和汇率对通货膨胀率的影响。因此,本文既支持需求拉动型通货膨胀理论,也支持输入型通货膨胀的命题。这项研究的另一个独特之处是在经验模型中包含了冲击变量。这项研究表明,通货膨胀冲击和出乎意料的汇率对国内价格水平具有重要作用。这意味着国内通货膨胀与国际金融部门密切相关。
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期刊介绍: The Business and Economic Horizons (BEH) is an international peer-reviewed journal that publishes high quality theoretical, empirical, and review papers covering the broad spectrum of research in areas of economics, business, management, and finance. The journal aim is to bridge the gap between the theory and the observed data in these constantly developing domains. BEH Editorial Board welcomes the high-quality original research articles and review papers that verify the well-grounded and the emerging theories by employing the econometric, statistical methods or other relevant empirical methods in theoretical and applied economic analysis. BEH does not discriminate articles utilizing the non-mainstream approaches such as experimental research, institutional analysis, other variations of heterodox and developmental economic studies. Therefore, the submissions in any field of micro- and macroeconomics, business ethics, economic policy or finance are appropriate for this journal. We hope, the provided contributions will help to understand the contemporary challenges faced by the private and public sector and will establish an international forum of empirical research.
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