Estimating the Persistence of Party Cue Influence in a Panel Survey Experiment

IF 3.2 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Journal of Experimental Political Science Pub Date : 2021-06-23 DOI:10.1017/XPS.2021.22

Ben M. Tappin, Luke B. Hewitt

引用次数: 2

Abstract

Abstract Perhaps hundreds of survey experiments have shown that political party cues influence people’s policy opinions. However, we know little about the persistence of this influence: is it a transient priming effect, dissipating moments after the survey is over, or does influence persist for longer, indicating learning? We report the results of a panel survey experiment in which US adults were randomly exposed to party cues on five contemporary US policy issues in an initial survey and gave their opinions. A follow-up survey 3 days later polled their opinions again. We find that the influence of the party cues persists at ∼50% its original magnitude at follow-up. Notably, our design rules out that people simply remembered how they previously answered. Our findings have implications for understanding the scope and mechanism of party cue influence as it occurs in the real world and provide a benchmark for future research on this topic.

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在面板调查实验中估计政党线索影响的持久性

也许数以百计的调查实验已经表明，政党线索会影响人们的政策观点。然而，我们对这种影响的持久性知之甚少:它是一种短暂的启动效应，在调查结束后瞬间消散，还是影响持续更长时间，表明学习?我们报告了一项小组调查实验的结果，在这项实验中，在一项初步调查中，美国成年人随机接触到有关五个当代美国政策问题的派对线索，并给出了他们的意见。3天后又进行了一次后续调查，再次征求了他们的意见。我们发现，在后续研究中，派对线索的影响仍然保持在原来的50%左右。值得注意的是，我们的设计排除了人们只是记住他们之前的回答。我们的研究结果对理解现实世界中派对线索影响的范围和机制具有启示意义，并为未来对这一主题的研究提供了基准。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Journal of Experimental Political Science Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science

CiteScore

5.10

自引率

8.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Experimental Political Science (JEPS) features cutting-edge research that utilizes experimental methods or experimental reasoning based on naturally occurring data. We define experimental methods broadly: research featuring random (or quasi-random) assignment of subjects to different treatments in an effort to isolate causal relationships in the sphere of politics. JEPS embraces all of the different types of experiments carried out as part of political science research, including survey experiments, laboratory experiments, field experiments, lab experiments in the field, natural and neurological experiments. We invite authors to submit concise articles (around 4000 words or fewer) that immediately address the subject of the research. We do not require lengthy explanations regarding and justifications of the experimental method. Nor do we expect extensive literature reviews of pros and cons of the methodological approaches involved in the experiment unless the goal of the article is to explore these methodological issues. We expect readers to be familiar with experimental methods and therefore to not need pages of literature reviews to be convinced that experimental methods are a legitimate methodological approach. We will consider longer articles in rare, but appropriate cases, as in the following examples: when a new experimental method or approach is being introduced and discussed or when novel theoretical results are being evaluated through experimentation. Finally, we strongly encourage authors to submit manuscripts that showcase informative null findings or inconsistent results from well-designed, executed, and analyzed experiments.