An Objective Method for Clustering Observed Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles by Their Boundary-Layer Structure

IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Weather and Forecasting Pub Date : 2023-05-18 DOI:10.1175/waf-d-22-0195.1
Dillon V. Blount, C. Evans, I. Jirak, A. Dean, S. Kravtsov
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Abstract

This study introduces a novel method for comparing vertical thermodynamic profiles, focusing on the atmospheric boundary layer, across a wide range of meteorological conditions. This method is developed using observed temperature and dewpoint temperature data from 31,153 soundings taken at 0000 UTC and 32,308 soundings taken at 1200 UTC between May 2019 – March 2020. Temperature and dewpoint temperature vertical profiles are first interpolated onto a height above-ground-level (AGL) coordinate, after which the temperature of the dry adiabat defined by the surface-based parcel’s temperature is subtracted from each quantity at all altitudes. This allows for common sounding features, such as turbulent mixed layers and inversions, to be similarly depicted regardless of temperature and dewpoint-temperature differences resulting from altitude, latitude, or seasonality. The soundings that result from applying this method to the observed sounding collection described above are then clustered to identify distinct boundary-layer structures in the data. Specifically, separately at 0000 and 1200 UTC, a k-means clustering analysis is conducted in the phase space of the leading two empirical orthogonal functions of the sounding data. As compared to clustering based on the original vertical profiles, which results in clusters that are dominated by seasonal and latitudinal differences, clusters derived from transformed data are less latitudinally and seasonally stratified and better represent boundary-layer features such turbulent mixed layers and pseudoadiabatic profiles. The sounding-comparison method thus provides an objective means of categorizing vertical thermodynamic profiles with wide-ranging applications, as demonstrated by using the method to verify short-range Global Forecast System model forecasts.
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用边界层结构对观测到的垂直热力剖面进行聚类的一种客观方法
这项研究介绍了一种在各种气象条件下比较垂直热力剖面的新方法,重点是大气边界层。该方法是使用2019年5月至2020年3月期间在协调世界时0000时拍摄的31153次探测和在协调世界时间1200时拍摄的32308次探测的观测温度和露点温度数据开发的。首先将温度和露点温度垂直剖面插值到地平面高度(AGL)坐标上,然后从所有高度的每个量中减去由基于表面的地块温度定义的干辐射面温度。这使得无论海拔、纬度或季节性导致的温度和露点温差如何,都可以类似地描述常见的测深特征,如湍流混合层和反演。将该方法应用于上述观测到的测深采集所产生的测深然后进行聚类,以识别数据中不同的边界层结构。具体地,分别在0000和1200UTC,在探测数据的前两个经验正交函数的相位空间中进行k均值聚类分析。与基于原始垂直剖面的聚类相比,原始垂直剖面导致的聚类以季节和纬度差异为主,从转换数据导出的聚类在纬度和季节上分层较少,更好地代表了边界层特征,如湍流混合层和伪绝热剖面。因此,测深比较方法提供了一种客观的方法来分类具有广泛应用的垂直热力剖面,如使用该方法验证短程全球预报系统模型预测所证明的那样。
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来源期刊
Weather and Forecasting
Weather and Forecasting 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
17.20%
发文量
131
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Weather and Forecasting (WAF) (ISSN: 0882-8156; eISSN: 1520-0434) publishes research that is relevant to operational forecasting. This includes papers on significant weather events, forecasting techniques, forecast verification, model parameterizations, data assimilation, model ensembles, statistical postprocessing techniques, the transfer of research results to the forecasting community, and the societal use and value of forecasts. The scope of WAF includes research relevant to forecast lead times ranging from short-term “nowcasts” through seasonal time scales out to approximately two years.
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