Gaussian quasi-information criteria for ergodic Lévy driven SDE

IF 0.6 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-08-11 DOI:10.1007/s10463-023-00878-2
Shoichi Eguchi, Hiroki Masuda
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Abstract

We consider relative model comparison for the parametric coefficients of an ergodic Lévy driven model observed at high-frequency. Our asymptotics is based on the fully explicit two-stage Gaussian quasi-likelihood function (GQLF) of the Euler-approximation type. For selections of the scale and drift coefficients, we propose explicit Gaussian quasi-AIC and Gaussian quasi-BIC statistics through the stepwise inference procedure, and prove their asymptotic properties. In particular, we show that the mixed-rates structure of the joint GQLF, which does not emerge in the case of diffusions, gives rise to the non-standard forms of the regularization terms in the selection of the scale coefficient, quantitatively clarifying the relation between estimation precision and sampling frequency. Also shown is that the stepwise strategies are essential for both the tractable forms of the regularization terms and the derivation of the asymptotic properties of the Gaussian quasi-information criteria. Numerical experiments are given to illustrate our theoretical findings.

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遍历lsamy驱动SDE的高斯拟信息准则
我们考虑了高频率观测的遍历莱维驱动模型参数系数的相对模型比较。我们的渐近方法基于欧拉近似类型的完全显式两阶段高斯准似然比函数(GQLF)。对于标度系数和漂移系数的选择,我们通过逐步推理过程提出了明确的高斯准 AIC 和高斯准 BIC 统计量,并证明了它们的渐近特性。特别是,我们证明了联合 GQLF 的混合率结构(在扩散情况下不会出现)会在规模系数的选择中产生正则化项的非标准形式,定量地阐明了估计精度与采样频率之间的关系。此外,逐步策略对于正则化项的可控形式和高斯准信息准则渐近特性的推导都至关重要。我们给出了数值实验来说明我们的理论发现。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
39
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (AISM) aims to provide a forum for open communication among statisticians, and to contribute to the advancement of statistics as a science to enable humans to handle information in order to cope with uncertainties. It publishes high-quality papers that shed new light on the theoretical, computational and/or methodological aspects of statistical science. Emphasis is placed on (a) development of new methodologies motivated by real data, (b) development of unifying theories, and (c) analysis and improvement of existing methodologies and theories.
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