Can Superstition Create a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? School Outcomes of Dragon Children in China

IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Journal of Human Capital Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI:10.1086/712476
N. Mocan, Han Yu
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

In China, those who have a dragon zodiac sign are believed to be destined for greatness. We find that if Chinese students are born in a dragon year, they are more likely to have a college degree and receive higher university entrance exam scores. Similarly, Chinese middle school dragon students have higher test scores. The “dragon effect” on test scores is eliminated when we account for parents’ expectations of their children. Dragon parents have higher expectations, and they invest more in their children. Although dragon children are not inherently different, the belief in the prophecy of success and the ensuing investment become self-fulfilling.
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迷信能创造一个自我实现的预言吗?中国龙孩子的学业成绩
在中国,龙的人被认为注定会成就伟业。我们发现,如果中国学生出生在龙年,他们更有可能获得大学学位,并获得更高的大学入学考试成绩。同样,中国中学的龙学生考试成绩也更高。当我们考虑到父母对孩子的期望时,对考试成绩的“龙效应”就被消除了。属龙的父母有更高的期望,他们在孩子身上投入更多。虽然龙的孩子并没有天生的不同,但对成功的预言和随之而来的投资的信念变得自我实现。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
23
期刊介绍: Journal of Human Capital is dedicated to human capital and its expanding economic and social roles in the knowledge economy. Developed in response to the central role human capital plays in determining the production, allocation, and distribution of economic resources and in supporting long-term economic growth, JHC is a forum for theoretical and empirical work on human capital—broadly defined to include education, health, entrepreneurship, and intellectual and social capital—and related public policy analyses. JHC encompasses microeconomic, macroeconomic, and international economic perspectives on the theme of human capital. The journal offers a platform for discussion of topics ranging from education, labor, health, and family economics.
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