Unemployment Hysteresis in the Czech Republic

IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Prague Economic Papers Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI:10.18267/J.PEP.709
Jakub Bechný
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

This paper analyses the unemployment hysteresis in the Czech Republic on data from 1999 to 2016. The hysteresis is modelled by allowing for the impact of cyclical unemployment on the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment. Models are estimated using the Bayesian approach and provide robust evidence in favour of the hysteresis. The estimates imply that in response to an increase in the cyclical unemployment of 1 percentage point, the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment increases by 0.18 percentage points.
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捷克共和国的失业滞后
本文根据1999年至2016年的数据分析了捷克共和国的失业滞后现象。滞后是通过考虑周期性失业对非加速通货膨胀率失业的影响来建模的。模型使用贝叶斯方法进行估计,并提供了有利于滞后的有力证据。这些估计表明,由于周期性失业率上升了1个百分点,失业率的非加速通货膨胀率上升了0.18个百分点。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
14
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