How Does Israel Absorb International Aid Meant for Palestinians

M. Sabra
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Abstract

International aid to Palestinians is one of the highest in the world. Meanwhile, the need for such aid is on the increase. Under the strict occupation policies, whether political, economic or military, the majority of international aid is absorbed by the Israeli economy render the Palestinian economy completely dependent. Four simultaneous equations were estimated using the "Three Stage Least Squares" to detect the impact of Official Development Assistance (ODA) on growth, domestic savings, imports from the greater world and Israel. Available yearly time series data for Palestine from 2000 to 2019 used within the model were estimated. We estimate the international aid propensity to imports from the greater world and Israel, besides the impact on growth and domestic savings. We found that ODA is associated negatively with growth, crowds out domestic savings and increases imports from Israel more than from the greater world. ODA marginal propensity to import from Israel is twice and half higher than the marginal propensity to total imports, which indicates the influence of economic accords and occupation procedures. In addition, Israel absorbs directly one-fourth of each dollar donated to Palestinian economy, and higher absorption is potential in the long run. Correlation has been measured between ODA and Palestinian trade deficit with Israel, and we found that more than 87% of aid ends up in the Israeli economy. A series of recommendations were provided including ending of the unilateral trade union imposed by Israel.
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以色列如何吸收对巴勒斯坦人的国际援助
对巴勒斯坦人的国际援助是世界上最高的之一。与此同时,对此类援助的需求正在增加。在严格的占领政策下,无论是政治、经济还是军事政策,大多数国际援助都被以色列经济吸收,使巴勒斯坦经济完全依赖。使用“三阶段最小二乘法”估算了四个联立方程,以检测官方发展援助对增长、国内储蓄、从大世界和以色列进口的影响。对模型中使用的2000年至2019年巴勒斯坦的可用年度时间序列数据进行了估计。我们估计,除了对增长和国内储蓄的影响外,国际援助倾向于从大世界和以色列进口。我们发现,官方发展援助与增长呈负相关,挤掉了国内储蓄,增加了从以色列的进口,而不是从大世界的进口。官方发展援助从以色列进口的边际倾向是进口总额的边际倾向的两倍半,这表明经济协定和占领程序的影响。此外,以色列直接吸收了捐赠给巴勒斯坦经济的每一美元的四分之一,从长远来看,更高的吸收率是有潜力的。官方发展援助和巴勒斯坦对以色列的贸易逆差之间的相关性已经得到衡量,我们发现超过87%的援助最终流入了以色列经济。提出了一系列建议,包括终止以色列强加的单方面工会。
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