Estimation of Run Up and Arrival Time of Tsunami in Bali Region Based on TOAST Simulation

Anak Agung Diah Satria Purnama, I. Paramarta, Muh. Soekarno Saputra Rahman
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Abstract

Bali Island is an area that is flanked by two zones of earthquake potential to cause a tsunami. In this study produced the estimated tsunami heights (run up) and the tsunami arrival times (ETA) by simulating a tsunami with some magnitude variety of the earthquake using software called TOAST. The estimation is obtained by making a scenario of earthquake from parameters of earthquakes that have occurred and raised tsunami on the Bali Island as a reference. The observation area is in some coastal areas of Bali Island. The maximum value of run up is between 21.16 m to 55.6 m with tsunami arrival time is between 120 minutes to less than 15 minutes after an earthquake with 9.6 SR of magnitude. The area around Kuta Beach Badung is an area with high potential for run up.
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基于TOAST模拟的巴厘岛海啸爆发和到达时间估计
巴厘岛两侧有两个可能引发海啸的地震区。在这项研究中,通过使用名为TOAST的软件模拟不同震级的海啸,得出了估计的海啸高度(上升)和海啸到达时间(ETA)。根据巴厘岛发生的地震和引发的海啸的参数,以地震场景为参考,得出了这一估计。观测区位于巴厘岛的一些沿海地区。上升的最大值在21.16米到55.6米之间,海啸到达时间在9.6 SR级地震后120分钟到不到15分钟之间。巴东库塔海滩周围的地区是一个有很高发展潜力的地区。
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