Utility of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score in Prognosticating sick Children in Paediatric Intensive care Unit

Raju Kafle, Shah Sanjeev, Gupta Binod Kumar
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Abstract

Introduction: There are number of scoring systems to assess the morbidity and mortality of sick children in intensive care unit. Out of these scoring systems our study was designed to look for the utility of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score which is less time consuming and simple to apply as a predictor of mortality in sick children admitted in Paediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU). Methods: This was a prospective observational study done in PICU of Universal College of Medical Sciences, Bhairahawa, Nepal. Recruited patients were all critically sick children above one year who stayed in hospital above 72 hours and underwent all necessary evaluation, and were followed up until they were discharged or deceased. Initial SOFA score was calculated within 24 hours of admission (SOFA T0) and again calculated after 72 hours (SOFA T72). Delta SOFA score was calculated as the change in SOFA scores over 72 hours (SOFA T0 - SOFA T72). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Results: When compared to outcome, the non survivors had high mean initial SOFA (T0) 11.51 ± ences ec ing 3.001 (P < 0.001), mean SOFA after 72 hours (T72) was 15.51 ± 4.026 (P < 0.001) and mean delta SOFA (T0-T72) was 4.58 ± 2.59 (P = 0.166) as compared to survivors. Delta SOFA was not significantly associated with outcome (P = 0.166). The initial SOFA score T0 > / = 11 predicted a mortality of 70.90% and SOFA T72 score of >/=15 predicted a mortality of 81.60% but delta sofa >/= 4 predicts a mortality of only 43.60%. Area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for SOFA TO was 0.769, for SOFA T72 was 0.890 and for delta SOFA was 0.604 and thus, showing excellent discriminative power for SOFA 72 for predicting mortality. Conclusions: The SOFA score demonstrated fair to good accuracy for predicting mortality when applied to sick children > 1 year admitted in PICU. Our study showed both initial SOFA T0 and SOFA at 72 hours predict mortality with good accuracy but SOFA at 72 hours is a better predictor of mortality as compared to initial and delta SOFA scores.
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序贯器官衰竭评估评分在儿科重症监护病房患儿预后中的应用
有许多评分系统来评估重症监护病房患病儿童的发病率和死亡率。在这些评分系统中,我们的研究旨在寻找顺序器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分的效用,该评分耗时更少,且易于应用于儿科重症监护病房(PICU)住院患儿的死亡率预测。方法:这是一项前瞻性观察性研究,在尼泊尔Bhairahawa的Universal College of Medical Sciences PICU完成。招募的患者均为1岁以上住院72小时以上的危重患儿,并接受所有必要的评估,随访至出院或死亡。入院24小时内计算初始SOFA评分(SOFA T0), 72小时后再次计算SOFA评分(SOFA T72)。Delta SOFA评分计算为SOFA评分在72小时内的变化(SOFA T0 - SOFA T72)。主要终点是住院死亡率。结果:与预后相比,非幸存者的平均初始SOFA (T0)为11.51±3.001 (P < 0.001), 72小时后平均SOFA (T72)为15.51±4.026 (P < 0.001),平均δ SOFA (T0-T72)为4.58±2.59 (P = 0.166)。Delta SOFA与预后无显著相关(P = 0.166)。初始SOFA评分T0 >/= 11预测死亡率为70.90%,SOFA T72评分>/=15预测死亡率为81.60%,而delta SOFA评分>/= 4预测死亡率仅为43.60%。SOFA TO的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积为0.769,SOFA T72的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积为0.890,delta SOFA的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积为0.604,因此,SOFA 72对预测死亡率具有良好的判别能力。结论:SOFA评分在预测PICU住院1 ~ 10年患儿死亡率方面具有良好的准确性。我们的研究表明,初始SOFA T0和72小时的SOFA都能准确预测死亡率,但与初始和delta SOFA评分相比,72小时的SOFA能更好地预测死亡率。
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来源期刊
Journal of Nepal Paediatric Society
Journal of Nepal Paediatric Society Medicine-Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health
CiteScore
0.20
自引率
0.00%
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0
审稿时长
12 weeks
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