The Linkage Between Fiscal Policy and Non-Performing Household Loans in Turkey

Ercan Özen, S. Hodžić, A. E. Yıldırım
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract Frequent changes in fiscal policies are the main cause of credit risk. To prevent households from increasing their non-performing loans, the government can use various policies and instruments. One of these tools is tax regulations, with a particular focus on the value-added tax. This paper examines whether tax policies have affected non-performing household loans in Turkey over the period from 2017 to 2021. To acquire meaningful empirical results, the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration model have been applied. The results of analysis indicated that the effect of tax regulations on non-performing household loans is quite strong. It can be demonstrated that the strength of the income effect generated by tax cuts might be robust.
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土耳其财政政策与不良家庭贷款的关系
财政政策的频繁变化是造成信贷风险的主要原因。为了防止家庭不良贷款增加,政府可以使用各种政策和工具。其中一个工具是税收法规,特别关注增值税。本文研究了2017年至2021年期间,土耳其的税收政策是否影响了家庭不良贷款。为了获得有意义的实证结果,应用了自回归分布滞后协整模型。分析结果表明,税收调控对家庭不良贷款的影响是相当大的。可以证明,减税产生的收入效应可能是强大的。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
10.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
13 weeks
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