A statistical study of climate change in Ukraine under martial law

Q4 Mathematics Statistics in Transition Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI:10.59170/stattrans-2023-005
Т. Kobylynska, I. Legan, O. Motuzka
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Abstract

The article concentrates on the development of theoretical and methodological foundations of statistical research in the field of national environmental and economic accounting, which forms the basis for the development of indicators of climate change under martial law and shapes the adaptation to these changes. Given Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine, the national statistical system is faced with an urgent task of ensuring the continuity of the production of complete and high quality statistical information. The issue of forming a methodology for the production of statistical information in the field of ecology, i.e. climate change statistics, remains unresolved. Outlining ways to address this issue is an important condition for the improvement of modern state statistics of Ukraine and the development of statistical theory and practice, as this largely determines the quality of the information-related support for environmental management at all levels. The statistical estimation of the dynamics and structure of greenhouse gas emissions on the basis of the economic activity of enterprises was performed. It was pointed out that among the various related branch methods of obtaining information, the system of environmental and economic accounting is the most relevant and source of high quality data. One of the aspects of solving the complex problem of forming methodological bases for collecting statistical environmental information is the creation of a national system of indicators of climate change and preparing statistical informational products using administrative data sources. The paper studies issues of producing ecological information relating to Ukraine according to statistical data. Moreover, the main problems which arise during the construction of national environmental accounts were characterised. Finally, the paper identified the key factors which influence to the largest extent the quality of statistical data and calculations, and which are necessary for the transformation and development of the statistical estimation of climate change under Russian military aggression.
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乌克兰戒严期间气候变化的统计研究
本文重点讨论了国家环境与经济核算领域统计研究的理论和方法基础的发展,这构成了戒严令下气候变化指标发展的基础,并决定了对这些变化的适应。鉴于俄罗斯对乌克兰的军事侵略,国家统计系统面临着确保持续生产完整和高质量统计资料的紧迫任务。形成生态学领域统计资料,即气候变化统计方法的问题仍然没有解决。概述解决这一问题的方法是改善乌克兰现代国家统计和发展统计理论和实践的重要条件,因为这在很大程度上决定了各级环境管理的信息支持的质量。在企业经济活动的基础上,对温室气体排放的动态和结构进行了统计估计。指出在各种相关的分支获取信息的方法中,环境与经济会计系统是最相关的,也是高质量数据的来源。解决形成收集统计环境信息的方法基础这一复杂问题的一个方面是建立一个国家气候变化指标系统,并利用行政数据源编制统计信息产品。本文从统计数据出发,对乌克兰生态信息的生成问题进行了研究。此外,还介绍了在建立国家环境核算过程中出现的主要问题。最后,本文确定了对统计数据和计算质量影响最大的关键因素,以及俄罗斯军事侵略下气候变化统计估计转型和发展所必需的关键因素。
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来源期刊
Statistics in Transition
Statistics in Transition Decision Sciences-Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
9 weeks
期刊介绍: Statistics in Transition (SiT) is an international journal published jointly by the Polish Statistical Association (PTS) and the Central Statistical Office of Poland (CSO/GUS), which sponsors this publication. Launched in 1993, it was issued twice a year until 2006; since then it appears - under a slightly changed title, Statistics in Transition new series - three times a year; and after 2013 as a regular quarterly journal." The journal provides a forum for exchange of ideas and experience amongst members of international community of statisticians, data producers and users, including researchers, teachers, policy makers and the general public. Its initially dominating focus on statistical issues pertinent to transition from centrally planned to a market-oriented economy has gradually been extended to embracing statistical problems related to development and modernization of the system of public (official) statistics, in general.
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