The Greek Sovereign Crisis: A Post-Keynesian Synthesis

Léo Vigny
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Abstract

Abstract The Greek crisis shocked many by its magnitude and by the nature of the policies implemented in its aftermath. The radical nature of the so-called Memorandum of Understanding was justified by the imbalances that the Greek economy experienced before the crisis. The current account deficit had been rising, as private and external debts. In addition, the ratio of public debt to GDP exceeded 100%. The crisis has been widely explained by a lack of fiscal discipline, a loss of competitiveness, and the rise of capital inflows. In this article, we seek to refute these narratives and offer a post-Keynesian interpretation of the Greek economic trajectory. Growing private indebtedness boosted imports. The resulting current account deficits were offset by rising capital inflows. Greece’s high level of public debt goes back to the 1980s. The narrow tax base of the country and usurious interest rates are to blame. However, none of these trends was sufficient to trigger the sovereign debt crisis. We argue that the main cause of the Greek crisis lies in the political economy of the Eurozone, and more particularly in its asymmetric governance.
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希腊主权危机:后凯恩斯主义的综合
摘要希腊危机的规模和后果所实施的政策的性质震惊了许多人。所谓谅解备忘录的激进性质是由希腊经济在危机前经历的失衡所证明的。经常账户赤字一直在上升,私人债务和外债也在上升。此外,公共债务占国内生产总值的比例超过100%。这场危机被广泛解释为缺乏财政纪律、竞争力丧失和资本流入增加。在这篇文章中,我们试图反驳这些说法,并对希腊经济轨迹提供后凯恩斯主义的解释。私人债务的增长促进了进口。由此产生的经常账户赤字被不断增加的资本流入所抵消。希腊的高公共债务水平可以追溯到20世纪80年代。这个国家的税基狭窄和高利贷是罪魁祸首。然而,这些趋势都不足以引发主权债务危机。我们认为,希腊危机的主要原因在于欧元区的政治经济,尤其是其不对称治理。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
8.30%
发文量
7
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