Analysis of Multivariate Survival Data under Semiparametric Copula Models

Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI:10.1002/cjs.11776
Wenqing He, Grace Y. Yi, Ao Yuan
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Abstract

Modelling multivariate survival data is complicated by the complex association structure among the responses. To balance model flexibility and interpretability, we propose a semiparametric copula model to modulate multivariate survival data, with the marginal distributions of the response components described by semiparametric linear transformation models. To conduct inference about the model parameters, we develop a two-stage maximum likelihood method and a three-stage pseudo-likelihood estimation procedure. We investigate the impact of model misspecification on the estimation of covariate effects and identify a scenario in which consistent estimation of the marginal parameters is retained even when the copula model is misspecified. The proposed methods are justified both theoretically and empirically. An application to a real dataset is provided to demonstrate the utility of the proposed method.

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半参数Copula模型下的多变量生存数据分析
由于反应之间存在复杂的关联结构,多变量生存数据的建模变得十分复杂。为了兼顾模型的灵活性和可解释性,我们提出了一种半参数 copula 模型来调节多变量生存数据,并通过半参数线性变换模型来描述响应成分的边际分布。为了对模型参数进行推断,我们开发了两阶段最大似然法和三阶段伪似然估计程序。我们研究了模型失当对协变效应估计的影响,并确定了一种方案,在这种方案中,即使 copula 模型失当,也能保持对边际参数的一致估计。提出的方法在理论和经验上都是合理的。在实际数据集上的应用证明了所提方法的实用性。
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