The Study of Consumer Stock Market Behaviour by Consequence of Prospect Theory

Varun Chotia
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Abstract

This study analyses the application of prospect theory concepts to understand stock market fluctuations. Prospect theory is the most frequently encountered alternative to utility theory when the latter is seen as insufficient in explaining empirical data. It incorporates principles of cognitive psychology and encapsulates choice behavior theories from various disciplines to put forth a more comprehensive approach in the study of patterns in consumer behavior. This research also lists various metrics to be used in the calculation of an investor’s readiness in case of an opportunity involving a risky underlying asset and further classifies investors based upon their scores in each of these five metrics. Based upon the principles of behavioral economics, this area of interest offers several challenging problems for further research and their importance is only enhanced by the ease of extension of their solutions to real world implementation.
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基于前景理论的消费者股票市场行为研究
本研究分析了前景理论概念在理解股市波动中的应用。当效用理论被认为不足以解释经验数据时,前景理论是效用理论最常见的替代方案。它结合了认知心理学的原理,概括了各个学科的选择行为理论,为消费者行为模式的研究提供了一种更全面的方法。这项研究还列出了在机会涉及风险基础资产的情况下,用于计算投资者准备程度的各种指标,并根据投资者在这五个指标中的得分对他们进行了进一步分类。基于行为经济学的原理,这一感兴趣的领域为进一步研究提供了几个具有挑战性的问题,它们的重要性只因其解决方案易于扩展到现实世界中而得到增强。
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