{"title":"Function estimation and regularization in the SIRD model applied to the COVID-19 pandemics","authors":"C. C. Pacheco, C. R. de Lacerda","doi":"10.1080/17415977.2021.1872563","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This paper deals with the quantification of the different rates in epidemiological models from a function estimation framework, with the objective of identifying the desired unknowns without defining a priori basis functions for describing its behaviour. This approach is used to analyze data for the Covid-19 pandemic in Italy and Brazil. The forward problem is written in terms of the SIRD model, while the inverse problem is solved by combining the Levenberg–Marquardt method with Tikhonov regularization. A very good agreement was achieved between data and the calculated values. The resulting methodology is robust and very versatile, being easily applicable to other epidemiology models and data from other countries.","PeriodicalId":54926,"journal":{"name":"Inverse Problems in Science and Engineering","volume":"29 1","pages":"1613 - 1628"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2021-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/17415977.2021.1872563","citationCount":"10","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Inverse Problems in Science and Engineering","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17415977.2021.1872563","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 10
Abstract
ABSTRACT This paper deals with the quantification of the different rates in epidemiological models from a function estimation framework, with the objective of identifying the desired unknowns without defining a priori basis functions for describing its behaviour. This approach is used to analyze data for the Covid-19 pandemic in Italy and Brazil. The forward problem is written in terms of the SIRD model, while the inverse problem is solved by combining the Levenberg–Marquardt method with Tikhonov regularization. A very good agreement was achieved between data and the calculated values. The resulting methodology is robust and very versatile, being easily applicable to other epidemiology models and data from other countries.
期刊介绍：
Inverse Problems in Science and Engineering provides an international forum for the discussion of conceptual ideas and methods for the practical solution of applied inverse problems. The Journal aims to address the needs of practising engineers, mathematicians and researchers and to serve as a focal point for the quick communication of ideas. Papers must provide several non-trivial examples of practical applications. Multidisciplinary applied papers are particularly welcome.
Topics include:
-Shape design: determination of shape, size and location of domains (shape identification or optimization in acoustics, aerodynamics, electromagnets, etc; detection of voids and cracks).
-Material properties: determination of physical properties of media.
-Boundary values/initial values: identification of the proper boundary conditions and/or initial conditions (tomographic problems involving X-rays, ultrasonics, optics, thermal sources etc; determination of thermal, stress/strain, electromagnetic, fluid flow etc. boundary conditions on inaccessible boundaries; determination of initial chemical composition, etc.).
-Forces and sources: determination of the unknown external forces or inputs acting on a domain (structural dynamic modification and reconstruction) and internal concentrated and distributed sources/sinks (sources of heat, noise, electromagnetic radiation, etc.).
-Governing equations: inference of analytic forms of partial and/or integral equations governing the variation of measured field quantities.
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