Stimulating Economic Recovery through Euro Area Growth Poles : Call for More Directed Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures?

Jana Kotlebova, Mária Širaňová
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Abstract

Research background: Transfer of newly created money through unconventional monetary measures follows the official European Central Bank distribution key. Yet, it does not take into account the ability of individual countries to drive growth process in other economies. Money spent to boost domestic credit provisioning in growth pole-like economies is more likely to spill over to other adjoined economies and help them to recover, even in the presence of depressed domestic demand and/or overleveraged domestic banking sector. Purpose of the article: This paper reports growth pole scores for 19 euro area countries, and compares it to the official distribution key used to transmit newly created source of funding. Methods: We modify the procedure developed in World Bank (2011) for growth pole com-putation in order to account for strength of linkages connecting member states. Findings & Value added: Our results suggest that the official distribution key might not be completely optimal once looking at the growth pole scores. Countries small in economic size (Baltic states, Slovakia and Slovenia) would benefit from a more differentiated distribution, as they strongly outperform their benchmark set by the official distribution key. On the other hand, big euro area economies do not achieve the levels used in official distribution key, taking into account their growth pole potential for other euro area economies.
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通过欧元区增长极刺激经济复苏:呼吁采取更有针对性的非常规货币政策措施?
研究背景:通过非常规货币措施转移新创造的货币遵循欧洲央行的官方分配密钥。然而,它没有考虑到个别国家推动其他经济体增长进程的能力。即使在国内需求低迷和/或国内银行业杠杆率过高的情况下,用于促进增长极型经济体国内信贷供应的资金更有可能溢出到其他毗邻经济体,并帮助它们复苏。文章目的:本文报告了19个欧元区国家的增长极得分,并将其与用于传递新创建的资金来源的官方分配密钥进行了比较。方法:我们修改了世界银行(2011)制定的增长极推定程序,以考虑成员国之间联系的强度。研究结果和附加值:我们的研究结果表明,一旦考虑增长极得分,官方分配密钥可能不是完全最优的。经济规模较小的国家(波罗的海国家、斯洛伐克和斯洛文尼亚)将受益于更具差异性的分配,因为它们大大超过了官方分配关键设定的基准。另一方面,考虑到欧元区其他经济体的增长极潜力,欧元区大型经济体没有达到官方分配密钥中使用的水平。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.20
自引率
3.50%
发文量
28
审稿时长
36 weeks
期刊介绍: Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy is a scientific journal dedicated to economics, which is the result of close cooperation between the Instytut Badań Gospodarczych/Institute of Economic Research (Poland) and Polish Economic Society and leading European universities. The journal constitutes a platform for exchange of views of the scientific community, as well as reflects the current status and trends of world science and economy. The journal especially welcome empirical articles making use of quantitative methods in: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics, International Economics, Financial Economics and Banking, Public Economics, Business Economics, Labor and Demographic Economics, Economic Development, and Technological Change, and Growth. Current most preferable topics and special issues: The economics of artificial intelligence: business potentials and risks; Digitalization and entrepreneurship in economics; Sustainable socio-economic development, environmental and ecological economics; Transition in the energy market (improving energy efficiency, alternative energy sources, renewable energy, energy security).
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