{"title":"Free-Trade Agreements in a Model of Trade, Migration and Politics","authors":"John D. Wilson, Ilkay Yılmaz","doi":"10.3868/s060-007-018-0003-7","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper uses a probabilistic voting model to investigate voting for a free-trade agreement between a labor-abundant country and a capital-abundant country. Migration from the labor-abundant country to the capital-abundant country increases the probability of a free-trade agreement, with lower migration costs leading to more migration and a higher free-trade probability. On the other hand, if a lower probability of free trade is caused by an increased voter bias against free-trade candidates, then there is less migration. A dynamic extension of the model is also investigated.","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"13 1","pages":"15-31"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5000,"publicationDate":"2018-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Frontiers of Economics in China","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3868/s060-007-018-0003-7","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract
This paper uses a probabilistic voting model to investigate voting for a free-trade agreement between a labor-abundant country and a capital-abundant country. Migration from the labor-abundant country to the capital-abundant country increases the probability of a free-trade agreement, with lower migration costs leading to more migration and a higher free-trade probability. On the other hand, if a lower probability of free trade is caused by an increased voter bias against free-trade candidates, then there is less migration. A dynamic extension of the model is also investigated.
期刊介绍：
Frontiers of Economics in China seeks to provide a forum for a broad blend of peer-reviewed academic papers of economics in order to promote communication and exchanges between economists in China and abroad. It will reflect the enormous advances that are currently being made in China in the field of economy and society. In addition, this journal also bears the mission of introducing the academic achievements on Chinese economics research to the world.
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