Is Concern With Overpopulation a Good Argument Against Radical Life Extension?

IF 0.5 Q4 ETHICS International Journal of Technoethics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.4018/ijt.312574
M. Redondo, G. Andrade
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Abstract

Projects of radical life extension have been discussed amongst scientists for years. Some bioethicists express reservations about this endeavor. A common objection appeals to demography: if the human lifespan is dramatically expanded, humanity would face an overpopulation problem. In this essay, the authors reply to this objection. They posit that radical life extension is unlikely to lead to overpopulation because overpopulation is determined more by fertility rates than by longevity, and as a result of the advanced phases of industrialization, fertility rates are likely to be reduced, and therefore, population size would become stable. However, they argue that although overpopulation is not a concern for the foreseeable future, it is still important to acknowledge its potential harms. Finally, they argue that even if overpopulation becomes a problem caused by radical life extension, there are plausible ways to solve it.
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关注人口过剩是反对激进延长寿命的好理由吗?
科学家们多年来一直在讨论彻底延长寿命的计划。一些生物伦理学家对此表示保留。人口统计学中有一个常见的反对意见:如果人类寿命大幅延长,人类将面临人口过剩的问题。在本文中,作者对这一异议作出了答复。他们认为,激进的寿命延长不太可能导致人口过剩,因为人口过剩更多地由生育率而非寿命决定,而且由于工业化的高级阶段,生育率可能会降低,因此人口规模将变得稳定。然而,他们认为,尽管在可预见的未来,人口过剩不是一个令人担忧的问题,但承认其潜在危害仍然很重要。最后,他们认为,即使人口过剩成为一个由激进的寿命延长引起的问题,也有合理的方法来解决它。
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15
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