Modified information criterion for detecting changes in skew slash distribution

IF 0.3 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Random Operators and Stochastic Equations Pub Date : 2023-07-26 DOI:10.1515/rose-2023-2011
Mei Li, Yubin Tian, Wei Ning
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Abstract

Abstract Skew slash distribution is a distribution which considers both skewness and heavy tail. It is very useful in simulation studies and realistic in representing practical data due to its less peaks, especially in data sets that violate the assumption of normality. In this article, we propose a change-point detection procedure for skew slash distribution based on the modified information criterion (MIC). Meanwhile, we provide an estimation approach based on confidence distribution (CD) to measure the accuracy of change point location estimation. By comparing with the likelihood ratio test, the simulation results show that the MIC-based method performs better in terms of powers, the coverage probabilities and average lengths of confidence sets. In the end, we apply our proposed method to real data and locate the positions of the change points successfully.
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改进了检测斜斜线分布变化的信息准则
摘要斜斜杠分布是一种同时考虑偏度和重尾的分布。它在模拟研究中非常有用,在表示实际数据时也很现实,因为它的峰值较少,尤其是在违反正态性假设的数据集中。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于修正信息准则(MIC)的斜斜杠分布的变化点检测方法。同时,我们提供了一种基于置信度分布(CD)的估计方法来测量变化点位置估计的准确性。通过与似然比检验的比较,仿真结果表明,基于MIC的方法在功率、覆盖概率和置信集的平均长度方面表现更好。最后,我们将所提出的方法应用于实际数据,并成功地定位了变化点的位置。
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来源期刊
Random Operators and Stochastic Equations
Random Operators and Stochastic Equations STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
25.00%
发文量
24
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