Nexus between economic policy uncertainty and institutional quality: evidence from India and Pakistan

Md. Qamruzzaman
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引用次数: 18

Abstract

ABSTRACT The motivation of this study is to gauge the asymmetric effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on institutional quality (IQ) in India (Pakistan), spanning the period 2003Q1 to 2019Q4 (2010Q1 to 2019Q4). The study applied DF-GLS and Zivot–Andrew, ARDL bound test, nonlinear ARDL and directional causal with the Toda-Yamamoto causality test. According to the combined cointegration test, the long-run economic policy uncertainty was exposed to adverse association with institutional quality in India and Pakistan. Both long-run and short-run asymmetries were confirmed between EPU and IQ. The causality test revealed the feedback hypothesis in explaining the causality between EPU and IQ.
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经济政策不确定性与制度质量之间的联系:来自印度和巴基斯坦的证据
摘要本研究的动机是衡量印度(巴基斯坦)经济政策不确定性对制度质量(IQ)的不对称影响,时间跨度为2003年第一季度至2019年第四季度(2010年第一季度到2019年第4季度)。本研究应用DF-GLS和Zivot–Andrew、ARDL界检验、非线性ARDL和Toda Yamamoto因果关系检验的定向因果关系。根据联合协整检验,印度和巴基斯坦的长期经济政策不确定性与制度质量呈负相关。EPU和IQ之间存在长期和短期的不对称性,因果关系检验揭示了解释EPU和智商之间因果关系的反馈假说。
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CiteScore
2.40
自引率
7.70%
发文量
23
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