Regression Estimation of Bongaart Indices from the Childbearing Indices: A Study of India/States/Districts

Abstract

In a series of research articles El-khorazaty, Horne and Suchindran have showed how one can derive for any given population indirectly various childbearing and Bongaart fertility-inhibiting indices using only given information on the ASFRs, and the mathematical and regression models suggested by them. Very recently Bongaart revised his old model and suggested a set of new revised formulae to estimate various fertility-inhibiting indices. Following El-Khorazaty and Horne it is aimed to show in the present paper how one can derive various Bongaart revised fertility-inhibiting indices from the given information on various childbearing indices which were further seen derived from the only given information on TFR and a set of regression models that were earlier suggested by the first author and it is shown that the present study succeed in giving meaningful estimates for India its States, UTs, and Districts. Various regression models referring to estimation of childbearing indices used in this study were developed earlier by Ponnapalli using the state level time series of ASFRs overtime of the SRS of India and Horne et al., mathematical model. The regression models used in indirect estimation of the fertility-inhibiting indices from the TFR and also from the childbearing indices were developed by Ponnapalli using the Bongart indices of the DHS surveys earlier given by Bongaart in his revised recent study. Keywords:  Fertility; Childbearing indices; Indirect Estimation; Bongaart Indices; ASFRs; TFR; TF; India