The impact of COVID-19 Crisis on the Global Economy and the North American Hegemonic Cycle: A reading

Patrícia Nasser de Carvalho, Elói Martins Senhoras
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Based on the theorical framework that considers contextual and structural long-term perspectives of world hegemonic cycles and transitions of global powers, the aim of this reading is to critically analyze the ongoing and potential impact of the pandemic in the light of a conjunctural and historical perspective. The hypothesis is that although the COVID-19 crisis has already had deep negative impact on the global economy and represents a perfect storm for the US hegemony, seeing as the country is being challenged by many factors with strong magnitude and adverse effects, indeed it would not generate an immediate terminal crisis of the North American hegemony. Just in the long run the COVID-19 pandemic has the potential to trigger another world hegemonic power. The reading is based on the theoretical perspectives of world hegemonic cycles in international relations and is methodologically characterized as an explanatory and descriptive study and is built on a bibliographic review for the collection of theoretical and historical data.
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新冠肺炎危机对全球经济和北美霸权周期的影响解读
基于考虑世界霸权周期和全球权力过渡的背景和结构长期观点的理论框架,本文的目的是从经济和历史的角度批判性地分析大流行的持续和潜在影响。我们的假设是,虽然新冠肺炎危机已经对全球经济产生了深刻的负面影响,对美国霸权来说是一场完美的风暴,但鉴于美国正受到诸多因素的挑战,其规模和负面影响都很强,因此它确实不会立即造成北美霸权的终极危机。从长远来看,新冠肺炎疫情有可能催生另一个世界霸权。阅读基于国际关系中世界霸权周期的理论视角,在方法上以解释性和描述性研究为特征,并建立在收集理论和历史数据的书目回顾之上。
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来源期刊
自引率
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发文量
9
审稿时长
16 weeks
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