Dynamic interdependence and volatility spillovers across bunker fuel markets and shipping freight markets

IF 3.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Maritime Policy & Management Pub Date : 2021-12-09 DOI:10.1080/03088839.2021.2005265
Xiaoxuan Li, T. Yip
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study firstly explores dynamic volatility spillovers across bunker fuel markets in shipping industry. Volatilities in bunker markets are measured by using the dynamic conditional correlation GARCH model. And then bunker volatility spillovers across markets are studied. Our analysis provides an evidence of unidirectional volatility spillovers within Asian (European/American) region and across regions, and also documents that Singapore bunker market is a leading market in transmitting volatility within Asian region and across regions. Furthermore, we measure time-varying volatility spillover effects among Singapore bunker market and shipping freight markets, and between Singapore bunker spot and futures market. The results reveal information transmission and could assist market participants and stakeholders to adjust hedging strategies and minimize risks according to the interrelationships across markets.
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船用燃料市场和航运货运市场的动态相互依存性和波动性溢出
摘要本文首先探讨了航运业燃油市场的动态波动溢出效应。采用动态条件相关GARCH模型对燃油市场的波动率进行了测度。然后研究了燃油价格波动对市场的溢出效应。我们的分析提供了亚洲(欧洲/美洲)地区和跨地区单向波动溢出的证据,并证明新加坡燃料市场是亚洲地区和跨地区传播波动的领先市场。此外,我们还测量了新加坡燃料市场与航运货运市场之间以及新加坡燃料现货市场与期货市场之间的时变波动溢出效应。研究结果揭示了信息传递,可以帮助市场参与者和利益相关者根据市场间的相互关系调整对冲策略,最大限度地降低风险。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.20
自引率
8.60%
发文量
66
期刊介绍: Thirty years ago maritime management decisions were taken on the basis of experience and hunch. Today, the experience is augmented by expert analysis and informed by research findings. Maritime Policy & Management provides the latest findings and analyses, and the opportunity for exchanging views through its Comment Section. A multi-disciplinary and international refereed journal, it brings together papers on the different topics that concern the maritime industry. Emphasis is placed on business, organizational, economic, sociolegal and management topics at port, community, shipping company and shipboard levels. The Journal also provides details of conferences and book reviews.
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