Artificial intelligence driven smart operation of large industrial complexes supporting the net-zero goal: Coal power plants

IF 3 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Digital Chemical Engineering Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.dche.2023.100119
Waqar Muhammad Ashraf, Vivek Dua
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Abstract

The true potential of artificial intelligence (AI) is to contribute towards the performance enhancement and informed decision making for the operation of the large industrial complexes like coal power plants. In this paper, AI based modelling and optimization framework is developed and deployed for the smart and efficient operation of a 660 MW supercritical coal power plant. The industrial data under various power generation capacity of the plant is collected, visualized, processed and subsequently, utilized to train artificial neural network (ANN) model for predicting the power generation. The ANN model presents good predictability and generalization performance in external validation test with R2 = 0.99 and RMSE =2.69 MW. The partial derivative of the ANN model is taken with respect to the input variable to evaluate the variable’ sensitivity on the power generation. It is found that main steam flow rate is the most significant variable having percentage significance value of 75.3 %. Nonlinear programming (NLP) technique is applied to maximize the power generation. The NLP-simulated optimized values of the input variables are verified on the power generation operation. The plant-level performance indicators are improved under optimum operating mode of power generation: savings in fuel consumption (3 t/h), improvement in thermal efficiency (1.3 %) and reduction in emissions discharge (50.5 kt/y). It is also investigated that maximum power production capacity of the plant is reduced from 660 MW to 635 MW when the emissions discharge limit is changed from 510 t/h to 470 t/h. It is concluded that the improved plant-level performance indicators and informed decision making present the potential of AI based modelling and optimization analysis to reliably contribute to net-zero goal from the coal power plant.

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人工智能驱动的大型工业综合体智能运营支持净零目标:煤电厂
人工智能(AI)的真正潜力是为煤电厂等大型工业园区的运营提高绩效和明智决策做出贡献。为实现660 MW超临界燃煤电厂的智能高效运行,开发并部署了基于人工智能的建模与优化框架。对电厂不同发电量下的工业数据进行采集、可视化、处理后,用于训练人工神经网络(ANN)模型进行发电量预测。在外部验证试验中,ANN模型具有良好的可预测性和泛化性能,R2 = 0.99, RMSE =2.69 MW。对输入变量求神经网络模型的偏导数,以评估该变量对发电的敏感性。发现主蒸汽流量是最显著的变量,其百分比显著性值为75.3%。采用非线性规划(NLP)技术实现发电最大化。在发电运行中验证了nlp模拟的输入变量优化值。在发电的最佳运行模式下,工厂一级的性能指标得到改善:节省燃料消耗(3吨/小时),提高热效率(1.3%)和减少排放(50.5千吨/年)。研究发现,当排放限值由510 t/h提高到470 t/h时,电厂的最大发电能力由660 MW降低到635 MW。结论是,改进的工厂级绩效指标和知情决策显示了基于人工智能的建模和优化分析的潜力,可以可靠地为燃煤电厂的净零目标做出贡献。
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