Crisis y fragilidad financiera griega bajo la hipótesis de inestabilidad de Minsky

IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS Revista Galega de Economia Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI:10.15304/rge.29.1.6609
Amparo Alejandra Reyes Escobar, Carlos Antonio Rozo Bernal
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Abstract

Greece has still not found its way back while its economy has been deteriorating year after year since 2008. It is argued in this article that the central factor of this outcome was the dynamics of financing in the countries most involved in Greek indebtedness that was considerably greater and had a more detrimental influence on the Greek economy than poor fiscal management that different governments could incur. The impetus displayed by financial services did not correspond to the weakness of the real sector which occurs when borrowing and financial flows are used without restriction to meet the interests of creditors. In this work an analysis of the channels that fueled Greek debt is carried out in the context proposed by Minsky where an economy moves from financial stability to a scenario of instability supported in two determining variables: high and exaggerated interest on debt service and the type of agents holding debt assets. The debt-service interest incurred by the government since joining the eurozone and the impetus for financing caused the debt to have a giant snowball effect while the change in debt holders forced the government to comply with strict and onerous government and macroeconomic reforms that directly impacted the ability of Greek governments to pay with negative results on the well-being of society.
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明斯基不稳定假设下的希腊金融危机与脆弱性
自2008年以来,希腊经济年复一年地恶化,但仍未找到恢复的道路。本文认为,这一结果的核心因素是与希腊债务关系最密切的国家的融资动态,这比不同政府可能导致的财政管理不善要大得多,对希腊经济的影响也更有害。金融服务业表现出的推动力与实体部门的疲软不符,而实体部门的疲软是在不受限制地使用借款和资金流动来满足债权人的利益时出现的。在这项工作中,在明斯基提出的背景下,对推动希腊债务的渠道进行了分析,其中经济从金融稳定转向两个决定变量支持的不稳定情景:高且夸大的债务利息和持有债务资产的代理人类型。自加入欧元区以来,政府所产生的偿债利息和融资的动力使债务产生了巨大的滚雪球效应,而债务持有人的变化迫使政府遵守严格而繁重的政府和宏观经济改革,这些改革直接影响了希腊政府的支付能力,对社会福祉产生了负面影响。
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来源期刊
Revista Galega de Economia
Revista Galega de Economia Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
11
审稿时长
22 weeks
期刊介绍: La Revista Galega de Economía es una plataforma editorial para la publicación de artículos de investigación sobre cualquiera de las especialidades del campo de la Economía y de la Administración y Dirección de Empresas. Los trabajos deberán ser originales, inéditos y no estar sometidos a consideración para su publicación en ninguna otra plataforma editorial. El autor o autores de los textos publicados en la Revista Galega de Economía le ceden a ésta los derechos de reproducción.
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