{"title":"Approximate exchangeability and de Finetti priors in 2022","authors":"P. Diaconis","doi":"10.1111/sjos.12609","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This is a review paper, beginning with de Finetti's work on partial exchangeability, continuing with his approach to approximate exchangeability, and then his (surprising) approach to assigning informative priors in nonstandard situations. Recent progress on Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for drawing conclusions is supplemented by a review of work by Gerencsér and Ottolini on getting honest bounds for rates of convergence. The paper concludes with a speculative approach to combining classical asymptotics with Monte Carlo. This promises real speed‐ups and makes a nice example of how theory and computation can interact.","PeriodicalId":49567,"journal":{"name":"Scandinavian Journal of Statistics","volume":"50 1","pages":"38 - 53"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Scandinavian Journal of Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/sjos.12609","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Abstract
This is a review paper, beginning with de Finetti's work on partial exchangeability, continuing with his approach to approximate exchangeability, and then his (surprising) approach to assigning informative priors in nonstandard situations. Recent progress on Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for drawing conclusions is supplemented by a review of work by Gerencsér and Ottolini on getting honest bounds for rates of convergence. The paper concludes with a speculative approach to combining classical asymptotics with Monte Carlo. This promises real speed‐ups and makes a nice example of how theory and computation can interact.
期刊介绍：
The Scandinavian Journal of Statistics is internationally recognised as one of the leading statistical journals in the world. It was founded in 1974 by four Scandinavian statistical societies. Today more than eighty per cent of the manuscripts are submitted from outside Scandinavia.
It is an international journal devoted to reporting significant and innovative original contributions to statistical methodology, both theory and applications.
The journal specializes in statistical modelling showing particular appreciation of the underlying substantive research problems.
The emergence of specialized methods for analysing longitudinal and spatial data is just one example of an area of important methodological development in which the Scandinavian Journal of Statistics has a particular niche.
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