The long-term effects of war exposure on generalized trust and risk attitudes: evidence from post-conflict Bosnia and Herzegovina

IF 0.8 2区社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES Southeast European and Black Sea Studies Pub Date : 2022-09-09 DOI:10.1080/14683857.2022.2121250

Adnan Muminovic, A. Efendic

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引用次数: 2

Abstract

ABSTRACT This article examines the long-term effects of war exposure on generalized trust and risk attitudes 20 years after the conflict in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Our study goes beyond the destruction of physical and human capital and investigates the effects of war exposure on psychological preferences and beliefs, as well as their mutual relationship and determinants. Our empirical strategy employs a nationally representative survey and an endogenous Seemingly Unrelated Model. We discover that individuals living in municipalities with greater war fatalities report significantly higher distrust in people and simultaneously express greater risk aversion. Moreover, there is a mutually endogenous and strong positive relationship between the two dependent variables, whereby greater trust is associated with greater risk-seeking. Consequently, our results demonstrate that the tragic consequences of war are not only confined to negative socio-economic outcomes but also leave a lasting impact on the psychological preferences of people that experienced it.

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战争暴露对普遍信任和风险态度的长期影响：来自冲突后波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的证据

摘要本文考察了战争暴露对广义信任和风险态度的长期影响20 波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那冲突后数年。我们的研究超越了物质和人力资本的破坏，调查了战争暴露对心理偏好和信念的影响，以及它们之间的相互关系和决定因素。我们的实证策略采用了一项具有全国代表性的调查和一个内生的似乎不相关模型。我们发现，生活在战争死亡人数较多的城市的个人对人们的不信任感明显更高，同时也表达了更大的风险厌恶。此外，这两个因变量之间存在着相互内生且强烈的正相关关系，因此，更大的信任与更大的风险寻求有关。因此，我们的研究结果表明，战争的悲惨后果不仅限于负面的社会经济后果，而且对经历过战争的人的心理偏好产生了持久的影响。

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来源期刊

Southeast European and Black Sea Studies AREA STUDIES-

CiteScore

3.00

自引率

19.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The aim of the journal is to establish a line of communication with these regions of Europe. Previously isolated from the European mainstream, the Balkan and Black Sea regions are in need of serious comparative study as are the individual countries, no longer "at the edge" of Europe. The principal disciplines covered by the journal are politics, political economy, international relations and modern history; other disciplinary approaches are accepted as appropriate. The journal will take both an academic and also a more practical policy-oriented approach and hopes to compensate for the serious information deficit on the countries under consideration.