MODELING AND ANALYZING QUARANTINE STRATEGIES OF EPIDEMIC ON TWO-LAYER NETWORKS: GAME THEORY APPROACH

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2023-01-06 DOI:10.1142/s021833902350002x
Rong-Ping Zhang, Boli Xie, Yun Kang, Maoxing Liu
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Abstract

The quarantine strategy plays a crucial role in the prevention and control of infectious disease. In this paper, a two-layer network model coupling the transmission of infectious diseases and the dynamics of human behavior based on game theory is proposed. The basic reproduction number of the infectious disease in our proposed model is obtained by the next-generation matrix method and the stability of the disease-free equilibrium is analyzed. Theoretical results show that the spread of infectious diseases can be controlled when the voluntary quarantined individuals reach a certain proportion. The sensitivities of the parameters are analyzed by simulations, and the results show that increasing propaganda can directly accelerate quarantine, and reducing the relative cost of quarantine has a significant effect on preventing the infectious diseases. Increasing the detection rate will lead to overestimating the proportion of undiagnosed infected individuals, and can also promote individuals to quarantine.
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基于双层网络的传染病隔离策略建模与分析:博弈论方法
检疫策略在传染病预防和控制中起着至关重要的作用。本文提出了一个基于博弈论的传染病传播与人类行为动力学耦合的双层网络模型。利用新一代矩阵法得到了模型中传染病的基本繁殖数,并分析了模型的无病平衡的稳定性。理论结果表明,当自愿隔离人数达到一定比例时,传染病的传播可以得到控制。仿真分析了各参数的敏感性,结果表明,加大宣传力度可以直接加速隔离,降低隔离相对成本对预防传染病有显著效果。提高检出率会导致高估未确诊感染个体的比例,也会促使个体进行隔离。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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