Study on Risk Assessment and Factors Ranking of LTE-M Communication System

Abstract

To assess the operational safety risk of long-term evolution for metro (LTE-M) communication system more accurately, guide maintenance strategy, the improved evidence theory and multi-attribute ideal reality comparative analysis (MAIRCA) approaches are proposed respectively. According to the features of the LTE-M system, the risk evaluation system is established. The enhanced structural entropy weight method is used to count the weight. Furthermore, combined with nine-element fuzzy mathematics to transform the degree of membership. Modifying the conflict and fusion rules to solve the confidence degree clashed problem of evidence theory. Then get the system risk grade assessment result. For the purpose of forming the ranking of indicator importance, the MAIRCA is introduced and the sort is based on three-dimensional. The operational state of the metro line is used as the data source in various ways based on the test and calculation. The results show that the method is effective, compared with the others, the confidence degree in the obtained risk grade increased by 7.12%. It is verified that MAIRCA can be applied to the field of urban rail transit because excellent stability and the ranking result of risk factors is reasonable. The influencing indicator with the highest importance is’ the equipment failure rate’.