Lockdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic among small island developing states and Guam

IF 3.4 3区 管理学 0 INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE Library Hi Tech Pub Date : 2023-04-27 DOI:10.1108/lht-12-2022-0574
Leila C. Kabigting, M. Ruane, Kristina C. Sayama
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

PurposeDuring the COVID-19 pandemic, lockdowns were implemented to achieve two goals: (1) to reduce the number of COVID-19 cases and (2) to reduce the number of COVID-19 deaths. In this paper, the authors aim to look at empirical evidence on how effectively lockdowns achieved these goals among small island developing states (SIDS) and for one specific SIDS economy, Guam.Design/methodology/approachThe authors reviewed existing studies to form two hypotheses: that lockdowns reduced cases, and that lockdowns reduced deaths. Defining a lockdown as a positive value for Oxford COVID-19 government response tracker, OxCGRT's stringency index, the authors tested the above hypotheses on 185 countries, 27 SIDS economies and Guam using correlation and regression analyses, and using different measures of the strictness, duration and timing of the lockdown.FindingsThe authors found no evidence to support the hypothesis that lockdowns reduced the number of cases based on data for all 185 countries and 27 SIDS economies. While the authors found evidence to support the hypothesis in the case of Guam, the result required an unrealistically and implausibly long time lag of 365 days. As to the second hypothesis that lockdowns reduced the number of deaths, the authors found no evidence to support it for 185 countries, 27 SIDS economies as well as Guam.Originality/valueFrom the review of the existing literature, the authors are the first to conduct this type of study among SIDS economies as a group and on Guam.
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小岛屿发展中国家和关岛在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间的封锁
目的在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,实施封锁主要是为了实现两个目标:(1)减少新冠肺炎病例数;(2)减少新冠肺炎死亡人数。在这篇论文中,作者的目的是研究关于小岛屿发展中国家(SIDS)以及一个特定的小岛屿发展中国家(关岛)的封锁如何有效地实现这些目标的经验证据。作者回顾了现有的研究,形成了两个假设:封锁减少了病例,封锁减少了死亡。作者将牛津COVID-19政府应对追踪系统OxCGRT的严格程度指数定义为正值,并使用相关和回归分析对185个国家、27个小岛屿发展中国家经济体和关岛进行了上述假设测试,并使用了不同的严格程度、持续时间和时间指标。根据所有185个国家和27个小岛屿发展中国家的数据,作者没有发现证据支持封锁减少病例数量的假设。虽然作者在关岛的情况下找到了支持这一假设的证据,但结果需要365天的不现实和令人难以置信的长时间滞后。至于第二个假设,即封锁减少了死亡人数,作者没有发现185个国家、27个小岛屿发展中国家以及关岛的证据支持这一假设。原创性/价值从对现有文献的审查来看,作者是第一个在小岛屿发展中国家经济中作为一个整体和在关岛进行这种研究的人。
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来源期刊
Library Hi Tech
Library Hi Tech INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE-
CiteScore
8.30
自引率
44.10%
发文量
97
期刊介绍: ■Integrated library systems ■Networking ■Strategic planning ■Policy implementation across entire institutions ■Security ■Automation systems ■The role of consortia ■Resource access initiatives ■Architecture and technology ■Electronic publishing ■Library technology in specific countries ■User perspectives on technology ■How technology can help disabled library users ■Library-related web sites
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