Causation between Consumption, Export, Import, and Economic Growth of Oman

IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Etikonomi Pub Date : 2022-03-16 DOI:10.15408/etk.v21i1.20034
Uzma Khan, A. Khan, Md. Shabbir Alam, Nouf Alkatheery
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

To examine the causation between consumption, export, import, and economic growth for the Sultanate of Oman using yearly time series data collected from the World Bank for 2000-2018. Further, it was tested by basic statistics, the Bound test with the ARDL model, and the Granger-causality tests. The findings of the Bound test analysis indicate the presence of both long-run and short-run associations among competing variables. The ARDL Model result reflects that imports have both short-run and long-run effects, supported by the Granger Causality tests by indicating the presence of unidirectional causality import to economic growth and import to consumption. The outcome of the study revealed that import is essential for economic growth as imports can absorb foreign technology in the domestic economy that can boost the export and further act as an engine of growth. How to Cite: Khan, U., Khan, A. M., Alam, M. D., & Alkatheery,N. (2022). Causation Between Consumption, Export, Import & Economic Growth of Oman. Etikonomi, 21(1), 67-78. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v21i1.20034.
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阿曼消费、出口、进口与经济增长的关系
利用从世界银行收集的2000-2018年年度时间序列数据,研究阿曼苏丹国消费、出口、进口和经济增长之间的因果关系。进一步,通过基础统计、ARDL模型的Bound检验和granger因果检验对其进行检验。Bound检验分析的结果表明,竞争变量之间存在长期和短期关联。ARDL模型结果表明进口对经济增长和进口对消费存在单向因果关系,表明进口对经济增长和进口对消费存在单向因果关系,并得到格兰杰因果检验的支持。研究结果表明,进口对经济增长至关重要,因为进口可以吸收国内经济的外国技术,从而促进出口,进而成为经济增长的动力。如何引用:Khan, U, Khan, a.m, Alam, m.d, & Alkatheery,N。(2022)。阿曼消费、出口、进口与经济增长的因果关系中华医学杂志,21(1),67-78。https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v21i1.20034。
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来源期刊
Etikonomi
Etikonomi ECONOMICS-
自引率
12.50%
发文量
29
审稿时长
12 weeks
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